Skalny Visiting Professors

University of
Rochester
Department of
Political Scienc
e
Associated
Faculty

 
 
PSC 256


Professor Grzegorz W. Kolodko
Director of TIGER – Transformation, Integration and Globalization Economic Research at the Kozminski School of Management, Warsaw, Poland
John C. Evans Professor in Polish and European Studies, University of Rochester, Rochester, NY
http://kolodko.tiger.edu.pl
Fall semester 2004 (September 2nd - December 13th)
Class: Tuesday and Thursday, 11:05-12:20, Gavet 301
Office hours: Tuesday and Thursday, 12:30-13:30, Harkness Hall 101b
kolodko@tiger.edu.pl


CLASS PSC 256

Central European Political Economy


I. Overview of seminar

The class PSC 256 on Central European Political Economy will focus mainly on the economic aspects of the post-communist transition to a market economy and democracy as well as on the implications of ongoing globalization for the evolution of post-communist political, social and economic system. Special attention will be given to these processes in the Central European countries, however they will be considered within the framework of comparative analysis with the experiences of Russia and China, on the one hand, and other emerging markets, on the other hand.

Globalization seems to be the most important feature of the contemporary world economy. It changes the manner in which particular regions are participating in the global economic game. Information, technologies, cultural patterns, capital, goods and still growing masses of people flow between the countries more freely and vigorously than ever. Actually, the significance of borders in the contemporary world is declining and the market for capital, as well as goods and services, are becoming strongly integrated into a single global market. The new comers into this global game are the emerging markets of post-communist countries in Central Europe and the former Soviet Union. They consist of large region – which encompasses 400 million people and vast resources – from Central Europe to Eastern Asia. In China the process of economic reforms continues and this large economy – with another 1.3 billion people – is gradually becoming more involved in the globalization endeavor. In the future – if the transition to market system and political democracy is managed in a reasonable way – one might expect these regions to become the fastest growing parts of the world economy. This chance also creates a challenge for the intellectuals, policymakers and businessmen.

The post-communist transition is a historical event leading from a centrally planned system to an open market economy, political democracy and civic society. The ongoing political, social, cultural and economic changes are of paramount importance not only for the countries directly engaged in these complex transformations, but for their partners worldwide as well. What conflict of interest on the international scale it can imply and what is the international political economy of the mutual relations between the rich countries and post-communist emerging economies and societies?

Transition is a gradual process, consisting of liberalization and stabilization, institution building and microeconomic restructuring. It takes time and is costly, both in financial and social terms. However, the time span necessary for successful market transformation can be limited and the costs can be mitigated, if only transition strategies are designed properly.

The post-communist countries are not yet on the path of durable growth, nor sustainable development. So far, only a few transitional economies have been able to overcome the pre-transition level of production and consumption, while the majority has been involved, for several years, in the great transitional depression. What political and economic forces are behind severe contraction and failures in some countries and what are the political institutions, economic policies and business strategies behind the successful developments elsewhere?

The crucial issue deals with the compatibility of democratization and marketization. Do they facilitate each other, or are these two processes involved in some contradictions? Is the emerging democracy enhancing the emerging market, or making it more difficult? Hence, does democratization help the shift towards recovery and growth? What is the political economy of this relationship and what we have learned already in the last 15 years since the fall of the Berlin Wall?

What works and why and what fails and why in the transition and the development policies – and these are two different set of polices, which suppose to be coordinated in a proper way – in the post-communist countries? What are the political implications of the economic results of transition at the middle of the decade of 2000s? What ought to be done to follow the successful Polish transition? And what to do to counteract the Russian crisis syndrome? Is it over or not yet? What are the ends and the means of the policy to move from stabilization to growth? How to sustain high rate of growth after transitional contraction? How to catch-up with advanced economies in the long run during the 21st century? How to take the irreversible process of globalization to the advantage of faster growth of transition economies?

These are the fundamental questions that are going to be addressed during the seminar.


II. Topics and schedule

1. Introduction and overview (September 7th).
2. The causes and mechanism of the fall of communist system and its implications for social and economic development of transition countries (September 14th).
3. Economics and politics of post-communist transformation (September 21st).
4. International aspects of transition. The Washington Consensus and the role of international organizations (September 28th).
5. Market and democracy. The role of institution building (October 5th).
6. Integration of transition countries into the global economy. The European Union integration and the enlargement to the East. The prospects for catching-up in transition economies (October 12th).

III. Essential readings


1. Kolodko, Grzegorz W. (2000). From Shock to Therapy. The Political Economy of Postsocialist Transformation, Oxford: Oxford University Press.

2. Kolodko, Grzegorz W. (2001). Globalization and Catching-up in Transition Economies, Rochester, NY and Woodbridge, Suffolk, UK: University of Rochester Press.

3. Nuti, D. Mario (2001). Not ‘just another accession’, Distinguished Lectures Series, No. 3, Leon Kozminski Academy of Entrepreneurship and Management (WSPiZ), Warsaw
www.tiger.edu.pl/publikacje/dist/nuti.pdf

4. Douglass C. North (2002). Understanding Economic Change and Economic Growth, Distinguished Lectures Series, No. 7, Leon Kozminski Academy of Entrepreneurship and Management, Warsaw
www.tiger.edu.pl/publikacje/dist/north.pdf

5. Stiglitz, Joseph E. (2002). Globalization and Its Discontents, New York and London: W. W. Norton & Company, chapter 5, Who Lost Russia?, pp. 133-65.

6. Kolodko, Grzegorz W. (2004), Institutions, Policies and Growth, TIGER Working Paper Series, No. 56 (June), Transformation, Integration and Globalization Economic Research at the Leon Kozminski Academy of Entrepreneurship and Management (WSPiZ), Warsaw
www.tiger.edu.pl/publikacje/TWPNo56.pdf


Additional readings, data and handouts will be provided during the seminar.


IV. Requirements

1. Final paper of about 5 pages (about 2,500 words) due by October 5th, 2004.

2. The grade will be based 65 percent on the final paper and 35 percent on constructive class participation.

 

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